The world of risk management is continually evolving but where is the next developmental phase for the practice of risk theory?
In my opinion, one area which offers great opportunity is the relatively undiscovered work around event predictability. Let's be real of course, there is no way to predict the future but it might be nice to understand the shape of that future.
In this blog, we review the use of the Extensible Markov Model for shaping event clusters.